Jack Clark predicts over 60% chance of fully automated AI research by 2028, raising concerns about institutional capacity and future unpredictability.
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732 Bytes to Root. One Hour of Scan Time.
A new Linux kernel privilege escalation bug was found using just one hour of AI-driven scanning, collapsing previous cost assumptions for zero-day exploits.
Every Benchmark Launched 2023-2024 Has Fallen — The METR / SWE-Bench / CORE-Bench / MLE-Bench / PostTrainBench Sequence
Every major AI R&D benchmark launched between 2023-2024 has reached saturation or is nearing it, indicating rapid progress in AI capabilities.
Jack Clark Says It Out Loud — Reading the Co-Founder’s 60%/2028 Estimate on Automated AI R&D
Anthropic’s co-founder Jack Clark publicly estimates over 60% probability that autonomous AI systems capable of self-innovation will emerge by 2028.
The Skills Marketplace, Six Months Later: Predicted vs Actual
Six months after predictions, the skills marketplace has grown significantly but remains fragmented, with top players dominating and structural challenges persisting.
The Compute Concentration Audit: When Sovereign Wealth Funds Notice Three Companies Own the Frontier
Major regulatory bodies are conducting a structural audit of the compute substrate behind frontier AI labs, focusing on AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud.
The New Personal Agent Layer
OpenClaw and Hermes introduce a new layer of persistent, action-oriented AI agents that operate across digital environments, transforming personal and enterprise workflows.
The Continual Learning Research Map: Where the Memento Constraint Stands in May 2026
A detailed update on the current state of the Memento Constraint research map, highlighting progress, challenges, and timelines for autonomous AI.
October 2026: What an Anthropic IPO Actually Unlocks
Anthropic prepares for a historic IPO in October 2026, with a valuation exceeding $850 billion, unlocking strategic and market shifts in AI industry.
The Forward-Deploy Pivot: Why Anthropic and OpenAI Are Becoming Consulting Firms in the Same Week
Anthropic and OpenAI are establishing AI-native enterprise services firms, signaling a strategic move to disrupt traditional consulting and enterprise IT markets.